By Stefan Raubenheimer
In terms of weather switch the distance among what we're doing and what we have to do is big. constructing a plan to get us from the place we're to the place we have to be is now essentially the most vital initiatives of contemporary society. during this, South Africa was once an early chief, and it approached the query in a amazing manner. The South African long term Mitigation eventualities (LTMS) is an across the world celebrated instance of ways humans can come jointly to paintings with the proof to increase the questions of the day. What was once extraordinary used to be not just the medical rigour followed, however the means within which leaders labored jointly to arrive a wide consensus. Their imaginative and prescient, and the reaction of the South African govt, was once groundbreaking and terribly formidable. The LTMS has quietly reshaped the South African panorama. This booklet is the tale of the folks and the method during which they took up the problem and produced those long term Mitigation situations.
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Extra info for Facing Climate Change. Building South Africa's Strategy
This sensitivity to our development aims as a country was very important. The LTMS was grounded on development issues; it was informed by the broader social challenges facing South Africa. ’ Richard Worthington, formerly Earthlife Africa BUILDING THE SCENARIOS The Impacts Group would provide us with a valuable insight into the Climate Change impacts South Africa could likely expect. Rules of the game The management team had agreed that we should ﬁrst lay out all rules of the game, and then set out the structure for the Scenario planning itself.
This powerful mandate would ensure that stakeholders came to the table, at least. They would want to be there. It showed when I called stakeholders to the Scenario Building Team (SBT). The Cabinet mandate put matters beyond question. 25 See Bob Scholes’ work in this regard. 34 BUILDING THE SCENARIOS We also had relevance, in the sense that the question being posed was compelling and important to both government and non-government actors. Now we needed to ensure credibility. Credibility for the LTMS would mean selection of the best stakeholders for the process, as well as the appointment of our best researchers.
Now we needed a method. In hindsight the LTMS also has a lot in common with the methodology of Assessments, and I am persuaded through my interview with Bob Scholes of the Council for Scientiﬁc and Industrial Research (CSIR), that the LTMS is, in fact, something of a combination of two classic methods. I will accordingly reﬂect on both, in an effort to explain our approach and reﬂect on its methodology. The case for Scenarios The LTMS was ‘about’ Scenarios. Scenario thinking was central to its approach.
Facing Climate Change. Building South Africa's Strategy by Stefan Raubenheimer