By Paul Rogers
Reviews on prior variants of the Oxford examine staff foreign defense document: "Paul Rogers is an earthly prophet for our hassle age. This research could be required analyzing within the Pentagon."---David Lloyn, BBC"Paul Rogers has proved himself, again and again, to be a dispassionate analyst of occasions in Iraq. . . . it is a must-read."---Tom Walker, Sunday TimesThe Iraq warfare indicates no signal of finishing, NATO is an increasing number of mired in clash in Afghanistan, and the al-Qaeda flow has verified secure havens in western Pakistan whereas being noticeable once more as a huge risk. In mild of this, the recent Oxford study workforce foreign safeguard file questions present guidelines and argues for the adoption of sustainable safety because the underlying method. Tackling occasions in chronological order over the foremost 2006-07 interval, the document bargains a transparent and compelling account of a "war on terror" that has long gone flawed in each significant appreciate and is in pressing desire of a finished re-thinking of the total outlook.
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Extra info for Towards Sustainable Security: Alternatives to the War on Terror
Given that the al-Qaida movement and its associates are working on timetables for change that range over many decades, the core value to them of Iraq still lies in the steady accumulation of a cadre of young paramilitaries with experience of a largely urban insurgency against exceptionally well-armed US troops. In this context, the significance of the month of June 2006 is that it was one more occasion in which US forces and their coalition partners could attempt to point to a new dawn in their counter-insurgency operations.
2 Estimates of civilian casualties across the country now run to around 3,000 each month, roughly equivalent to a 9/11 attack, with most of the violence in the greater Baghdad area and in the important province of Anbar which extends from west of Baghdad to the Syrian border and includes the cities of Fallujah and Ramadi. Although the United States maintains substantial troop deployments in Anbar, it appears that the province is simply not under the control of the US forces or of the Iraqi government.
The extent of Hezbollah’s capabilities during the war became progressively clearer during September, most notably as their casualties were almost certainly much lower than Israeli war-time estimates. It was also apparent that the network of underground bunkers that had been constructed in the previous six years was hugely more extensive than Israeli intelligence had suggested. Indeed, Hezbollah had become particularly adept at constructing dummy facilities while effectively disguising many of the operational bunkers.
Towards Sustainable Security: Alternatives to the War on Terror by Paul Rogers